5
Lohengrin
6yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 48
Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 1f 30y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | BHA48 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA45 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | BHA45 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | BHA47 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA50 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |