6

Pure Granite

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 46

Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 1f 30y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran well in tongue tie (removed now) in Dundalk handicap off 5 lb higher when last seen 10 months ago. Still lightly raced and shouldn't be overlooked.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.7)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 13/05/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f148y Sft 13013/05C8C8 @ Gowran Park 16/06/2024 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f Gd 13316/06C8C8 @ Killarney 06/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m30y Sft 1346/10C8BHA56 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 19th of 26 · OR 56 · 7f Yie 124 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 56 par16/1056OR 56BHA54 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 132 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 54 par5/1154OR 54BHA51 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m2f150y Std 129 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 51 par19/1151OR 51projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-19DundalkBHA516th6th0
2025-11-05DundalkBHA5413th13th0
2025-10-16CurraghBHA5619th19th0
2025-10-06Killarney?6th6th0
2024-06-16Gowran Park?11th11th0
2024-05-13Roscommon?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0516/066/1016/105/1119/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20249th14/126%11%-0.15
16/06/202411th100/10%17%+0.17
06/10/20256th100/10%29%+0.29
16/10/202519th80/10%28%+0.28
05/11/202513th28/10%0%0.00
19/11/20256th25/10%62%+0.62