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12

Rampage

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 42

Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 1f 30y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A while without a win but turned in his best effort of the season when going close at Gowran a fortnight ago, caught wide throughout from a wide draw and headed close home. Big player with a repeat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 60 · 1m Goo 142 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 60 par12/0460OR 60BHA60 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m Std 142 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 60 parBHA57 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 57 · 1m Goo 139 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 57 par20/0557OR 57BHA54 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 54 · 1m1f GF 136 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 54 parBHA51 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 51 · 7f211y Gd 133 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 51 par2/0751OR 51BHA48 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Std 130 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 48 parBHA45 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 45 par15/0845OR 45BHA43 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 43 · 7f195y Goo 126 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 43 parC9 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 42 · 1m Yie 124 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 42 par1/09C9OR 42projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-25BellewstownBHA435th5th0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA458th8th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA487th7th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA5113th13th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA5411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0418/0615/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20268th12/137%63%+0.26
23/04/20266th3/184%44%-0.40
20/05/20267th8/158%60%+0.02
18/06/202611th13/266%29%-0.37
02/07/202613th5/174%14%-0.59
12/07/20267th12/137%54%+0.17
15/08/20268th11/142%46%+0.04
25/08/20265th11/271%71%+0.00
01/09/20262nd13/266%93%+0.28