2
Signor Ferrari
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 58
Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 1f 30y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA61 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA61 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Tipperary | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-28 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Dundalk | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/01/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 14/02/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 21/02/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 14/03/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 28/03/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 27/05/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |