14
Tullyesker
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40
Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 1f 30y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 11.4)
Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | BHA43 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA44 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 17th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/10/2025 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/08/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |