13

Autocrat

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40

Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 1f 30y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored at Dundalk in January but has struggled on turf more recently. Down markedly in trip here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA66 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 66 · 1m4f Std 136 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 66 par12/1266OR 66BHA62 @ Dundalk 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 2m Std 132 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 62 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 62 par23/01C8OR 62BHA71 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 141 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 71 parBHA60 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m5f190y Sft 142 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 60 par3/0560OR 60BHA56 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 56 · 1m4f180y Gd 138 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 56 parBHA52 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m2f40y Goo 134 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 52 par11/0752OR 52BHA48 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 48 · 1m4f179y Goo 130 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 48 parBHA43 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 43 · 1m4f194y Goo 125 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 43 par4/0943OR 43projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA438th8th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA489th9th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA5210th10th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA5616th16th0
2026-05-03SligoBHA6010th10th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA717th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1220/0311/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength20%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/202513th16/116%8%-0.08
16/01/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
23/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
20/03/20267th13/266%50%-0.16
03/05/202610th9/276%31%-0.46
15/05/202616th12/137%17%-0.20
11/07/202610th12/137%18%-0.19
20/07/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
04/09/20268th14/126%36%+0.10