9
Dress Dance
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 50
Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 1f 30y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | BHA54 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Naas | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Punchestown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/09/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/10/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |