11
Miss Americana
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 42
Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 1f 30y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA41 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA43 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA41 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 81% | +0.10 |
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.24 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.35 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 93% | +0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |