14
Peig Sayers
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 40
Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 1f 30y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 12.8 /10 (raw 11.2)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA44 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA47 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA52 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | BHA57 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA58 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | BHA61 | 22th | 22th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/08/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/09/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/10/2025 | 22nd | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/05/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 14/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |