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12

Pinball Wizard

8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 42

Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 1f 30y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to fire this season (well held again in first-time tongue tie last time) but lurks on a dangerous mark (last win in Britain off 64) and usually runs well when the cheekpieces go back on, as they do here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 62 · 7f Goo 132 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 62 par4/0862OR 626 @ Ayr 18/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m Goo 136 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 59 · 7f195y Goo 141 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 59 par26/0859OR 59BHA56 @ Dundalk 26/09/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m Std 138 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 14/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m Std 136 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 54 par14/1054OR 54BHA52 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m Std 134 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 52 parBHA50 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 50 · 1m Yie 133 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 50 par1/0650OR 50BHA50 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 50 · 7f211y Gd 132 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 50 parBHA47 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 47 · 1m20y Goo 129 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 47 par2/0947OR 47projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA478th8th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA5011th11th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA507th7th0
2025-11-07DundalkBHA5212th12th0
2025-10-14DundalkBHA547th7th0
2025-09-26DundalkBHA5614th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0826/091/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/202512th28/10%27%+0.27
18/08/20256th5/174%38%-0.36
26/08/20253rd16/116%86%+0.70
26/09/202514th8/158%0%-0.58
14/10/20257th28/10%54%+0.54
07/11/202512th28/10%15%+0.15
01/06/20267th14/126%60%+0.34
02/07/202611th14/126%29%+0.02
02/09/20268th20/10%53%+0.53