3

Tero D'rosa

4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 59

Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 1f 30y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Ballinrobe in May. Has run well over 1½m/11f the last twice while shaping as if it stretched him and the return to 9f will suit. One to note.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA61 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 61 · 7f Goo 121 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 61 par2/0961OR 61BHA57 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m1f58y Goo 134 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 57 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 132 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 54 par5/1154OR 54BHA54 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 132 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 54 parBHA55 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 55 · 1m1f133y Goo 137 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 55 par8/0555OR 55BHA55 @ Killarney 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 55 · 1m31y Gd 144 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 55 parBHA63 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 63 · 1m1f100y Yie 133 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 63 par12/0663OR 63BHA62 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 62 parBHA61 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 61 · 1m3f Goo 131 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 61 par23/0861OR 61projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA616th6th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA624th4th0
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA636th6th0
2026-05-12KillarneyBHA556th6th0
2026-05-08BallinrobeBHA551st1st0
2025-11-19DundalkBHA542nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0919/1112/0623/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20257th22/10%40%+0.40
16/09/202510th6/168%31%-0.38
05/11/20253rd9/153%82%+0.29
19/11/20252nd11/893%92%-0.00
08/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
12/05/20266th3/184%64%-0.20
12/06/20266th7/163%64%+0.01
12/07/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
23/08/20266th8/158%67%+0.09