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Paphos

2yo Colt · 9-6

Redcar · racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€60,000 breeze-up purchase who showed plenty of the speed he's bred for when fifth of 8 in a Musselburgh maiden (5f) on debut 3 weeks ago, disputing lead until fading approaching final 1f. Appeals as the type to improve with that under his belt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 13324/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Musselburgh45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20265th11/271%43%-0.28