5
Bigalo
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 67
Redcar · Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Selling Stakes · 5f 217y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |