Lady Dublin
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 74
Redcar · Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Selling Stakes · 5f 217y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Musselburgh | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |