Niewiadoma
2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 75
Redcar · Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Selling Stakes · 5f 217y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 14.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 18th | 16th | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 25th | 21th | +4 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 1 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 17/06/2026 | 25th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 18/07/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 20/08/2026 | 18th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |