Rock Steady Beat
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 73
Redcar · Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Selling Stakes · 5f 217y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Carlisle | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -20.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 8/11 | 96% | 29% | -0.68 |