Roman Crystal
2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 68
Redcar · Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Selling Stakes · 5f 217y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |