
Blue Boy Junior
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69
Redcar · Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y
#12
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |