7

Blue Boy Junior

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69

Redcar · Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y

#12

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Space Blues gelding who has displayed promise all 3 starts to date, catching the eye on qualifying run when fifth of 10 in a Southwell novice (1m) 4 weeks ago. Very much the type to improve further now handicapping and he's one to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS18/0444 @ Carlisle 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f195y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS18/0544 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS16/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Southwell45th4th+1
2026-05-18Carlisle44th3rd+1
2026-04-18Thirsk44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0418/0516/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20264th6/168%77%+0.08
18/05/20264th10/382%70%-0.12
16/08/20265th14/126%56%+0.29