Bowood
6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 70
Redcar · Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Doncaster | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |