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3

Cosmos Raj

8yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 66

Redcar · Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form when capitalising on a much-reduced mark over further here in August. Backed that up without posing a win threat when fourth at Ripon (1¼m) since and this 8-y-o is not out of things in refitted cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m6y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 77 par29/044OR 774 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 76 · 7f219y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Carlisle 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m1f Sft 134 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 74 par8/065OR 744 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m6y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 69 · 7f218y Goo 129 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 69 par16/075OR 696 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m2f43y GF 135 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m6y Goo 125 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 65 par5/085OR 655 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 1m2f1y Goo 135 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m1f170y Sft 133 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 66 par1/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Ripon54th4th0
2026-08-22Redcar51st1st0
2026-08-05Pontefract54th4th0
2026-08-01Doncaster64th5th−1
2026-07-16Thirsk56th6th0
2026-06-29Pontefract46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0429/065/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20269th50/10%0%0.00
26/05/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
08/06/20267th28/10%40%+0.40
29/06/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
16/07/20266th40/10%0%0.00
01/08/20264th7/163%40%-0.23
05/08/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
22/08/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
01/09/20264th9/276%50%-0.26