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8

Law Of Design

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Redcar · Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y

#10

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On a losing sequence but ran creditably equipped with a visor for the first time when second in a big-field contest at Chepstow (1m) 2 weeks ago. A repeat gives him claims from same mark. One of 2 runners representing Ian Williams.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 08/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f12y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 79 par8/094OR 794 @ Wolverhampton 20/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 78 · 7f36y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Southwell 23/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 77 · 7f14y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 77 par23/014OR 775 @ Chelmsford City 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f Std 135 · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 75 par2 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 73 · 1m13y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 73 par7/042OR 735 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 70 · 7f1y Goo 142 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f127y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 68 par25/074OR 686 @ Chepstow 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m14y GF 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 65 par2 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 64 · 1m14y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 64 par31/082OR 64projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow22nd-2th+3
2026-08-18Chepstow65th6th−1
2026-07-25Chester45th4th+1
2026-07-10Chester55th5th0
2026-04-07Southwell29th5th+3
2026-02-12Chelmsford City55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0912/0225/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20259th9/488%11%-0.77
20/12/202511th20/10%9%+0.09
23/01/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
12/02/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
07/04/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
10/07/20265th10/147%56%+0.08
25/07/20265th28/10%43%+0.43
18/08/20265th11/486%43%-0.43
31/08/20262nd28/10%93%+0.93