IvyArcIvyArc
10

Legacy Rock

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67

Redcar · Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has benefited from the step up to 1m, recording back-to-back wins at Windsor in May. Good effort in defeat when runner-up at Nottingham later that month and hasn't been seen to ideal effect on each of his last 2 starts, not well placed at Southwell last time. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS5/0946 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 63 · 7f36y Std 133 · below its mark16/03/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 7f1y Std 127 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 62 par14/045OR 625 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 1m31y Goo 127 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 1m31y GF 130 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 65 par23/055OR 656 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m75y Goo 140 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m Goo 132 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 72 par30/065OR 725 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Goo 132 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 69 · 1m13y Std 134 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 69 par31/085OR 69projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell56th6th0
2026-08-20Newmarket56th6th0
2026-06-30Salisbury56th6th0
2026-05-31Nottingham62nd3rd−1
2026-05-23Windsor51st1st0
2026-05-04Windsor51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/094/0530/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20256th125/10%38%+0.38
16/03/20269th3/184%20%-0.64
14/04/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
04/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
23/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
31/05/20262nd6/594%83%-0.10
30/06/20266th7/163%0%-0.63
20/08/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
31/08/20266th5/174%44%-0.29