8
Grant Wood
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 75
Redcar · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap · 5f 217y
#14
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 4 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 13/06/2026 | 17th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 74% | +0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |