2

Sixtygeesbaby

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82

Redcar · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap · 5f 217y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won well at Carlisle from a tumbling mark last month, but never went with any fluency under a penalty at Ffos Las 10 days later, and ran even worse when last of 16 at Doncaster on Sunday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 86 · 6f GS 136 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 86 par16/044OR 864 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 137 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 82 par16/054OR 824 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 6f2y GF 129 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 19 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/074OR 775 @ Nottingham 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f18y Goo 140 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 5f182y Goo 140 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 73 par11/085OR 735 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f Gd 143 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 82 · 6f2y Gd 139 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 82 par13/094OR 82projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster416th16th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las53rd4th1
2026-08-11Carlisle51st2nd1
2026-07-21Nottingham55th6th1
2026-07-11York45th5th0
2026-06-26Doncaster48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0426/0611/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/202613th6/168%20%-0.48
29/04/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
16/05/202610th3/184%0%-0.84
26/06/20268th5/174%0%-0.74
11/07/20265th20/10%78%+0.78
21/07/20265th5/287%43%-0.44
11/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
21/08/20263rd5/493%60%-0.33
13/09/202616th11/271%0%-0.71