7
Straight Ahead
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 78
Redcar · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap · 5f 217y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 04/10/2025 | 14th | 200/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |