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11

Yorkshire Glory

5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73

Redcar · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap · 5f 217y

#10

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Topped off a remarkable winter when recording his ninth win of the campaign at Newcastle in March, proving gutsy to make all in the face of a strong headwind. However, always behind after a slow start back on turf following month and likely to find this too competitive on first run since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 20/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark20/01/2026 · OR 51 par20/016OR 516 @ Newcastle 04/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 53 · 6f Std 128 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Newcastle 14/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 53 · 6f Sta 125 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 53 par14/026OR 536 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 55 · 6f16y Std 135 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 55 · 6f Std 136 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 55 par6/036OR 556 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 61 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 61 par4 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 6f20y Std 116 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 66 par23/034OR 665 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 66 · 6f Std 137 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Pontefract 21/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f Goo 133 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 73 par21/045OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-21Pontefract58th9th−1
2026-03-27Newcastle51st2nd−1
2026-03-23Wolverhampton41st1st0
2026-03-12Newcastle61st3rd−2
2026-03-06Newcastle61st3rd−2
2026-02-24Southwell61st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0124/0223/0321/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/02/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
14/02/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
24/02/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
06/03/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
12/03/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
23/03/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
27/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
21/04/20268th3/184%0%-0.84