IvyArcIvyArc
5

League Of Justice

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 75

Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 1y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Son of Justify who stepped up plenty on his first 2 starts when third in a Newcastle novice (7f) 10 days ago, picking up to good effect late on. This step up in trip promises to suit on that evidence now handicapping for all the assessor looks to have taken no chances with opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f14y Std 13323/0744 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m68y Goo 13311/0844 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1305/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle43rd3rd0
2026-08-11Hamilton44th4th0
2026-07-23Southwell46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0711/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +41.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20266th13/266%58%-0.07
11/08/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
05/09/20263rd66/10%75%+0.75