6
Panelli
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 66
Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 1y
#6
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |