Canaria Queen
6yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 66
Redcar · Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Ripon | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |