Dragon Spin
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 66
Redcar · Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 24/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |