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6

Marajito

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 64

Redcar · Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner in May who doubled her career tally from a 2 lb higher mark at Ripon (5f) later same month. Best effort since when second at that venue at the start of last month but not in same form either start since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 71 · 6f18y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 71 par2/102OR 715 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 5f8y Goo 133 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Ripon 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 66 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 66 par28/055OR 665 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Ayr 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Gd 156 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 70 par5/075OR 705 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f8y Goo 139 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Ripon 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 68 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 68 par3/085OR 685 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 5f217y Goo 133 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 66 · 5f Sft 131 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 66 par31/085OR 66projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon56th6th0
2026-08-22Redcar57th7th0
2026-08-03Ripon52nd2nd0
2026-07-18Nottingham54th4th0
2026-07-05Ayr55th5th0
2026-06-16Thirsk56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1016/063/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/202514th80/10%0%0.00
09/05/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
28/05/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
16/06/20266th11/271%44%-0.27
05/07/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
18/07/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
03/08/20262nd5/174%75%+0.01
22/08/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
31/08/20266th16/116%38%+0.22