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3

Sea Her Excel

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 66

Redcar · Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has made all in fast-ground handicaps at Wetherby (5.5f) and Ayr (5f) this summer. Set a sound gallop when third at Lingfield (5f) last month and this rates more suitable having failed to get home (raced freely) over 6f at Newcastle 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f GS 12518/0955 @ Newcastle 26/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 6f Std 1286 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 60 · 6f18y Goo 135 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 60 par26/046OR 606 @ Catterick 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 5f GF 135 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 59 · 5f110y Goo 133 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 59 par4/066OR 596 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 64 · 5f21y Goo 134 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 64 · 5f GF 134 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 64 par20/076OR 645 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 5f6y Std 134 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 67 · 6f Std 132 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 67 par5/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle513th13th0
2026-08-20Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-07-20Ayr61st2nd−1
2026-06-15Windsor65th6th−1
2026-06-04Wetherby61st2nd−1
2026-05-30Catterick63rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0930/0520/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20255th40/10%50%+0.50
26/09/20253rd22/10%0%0.00
26/04/202613th10/147%14%-0.33
30/05/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
04/06/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
15/06/20265th11/486%56%-0.30
20/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
20/08/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
05/09/202613th18/15%8%+0.02