Ice Cold Alex
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 63
Redcar · Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/09/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 20/08/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |