6
Muker
8yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 62
Redcar · Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength77%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Windsor | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-07-02 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/05/2026 | 17th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 17th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |