5

Speeding Bullet

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 62

Redcar · Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap · 5f

#12

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Come down a fair way in the weights and highlighted his turn may not be far away when posting a good second at Newcastle (5f) earlier this month. Worth considering on the back of that operating 5 lb below last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 09/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 67 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2025 · OR 67 par9/065OR 675 @ Newcastle 27/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 5f Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Southwell 28/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 68 · 6f16y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2025 · OR 68 par28/075OR 684 @ Haydock 05/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 69 · 5f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Newcastle 01/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 70 par1/055OR 705 @ Carlisle 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 5f Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 67 par3/065OR 675 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 64 · 5f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 5f Std 132 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 62 par3/096OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle62nd2nd0
2026-07-28Beverley55th4th+1
2026-06-03Ripon57th6th+1
2026-05-18Carlisle57th6th+1
2026-05-01Newcastle511th10th+1
2025-09-05Haydock42nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/065/093/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend -8.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20251st28/10%100%+1.00
27/06/20254th12/137%67%+0.30
28/07/20252nd8/158%88%+0.30
05/09/20252nd11/142%92%+0.50
01/05/202611th12/137%9%-0.28
18/05/20267th11/142%33%-0.09
03/06/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
28/07/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
03/09/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23