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13

Zuffolo

6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 56

Redcar · Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Given a chance by the assessor and duly took advantage when narrowly winning 6-runner handicap at Ripon (5f) in July. Performed well back up in grade when third behind reopposing Albegone at Musselburgh (5f) since. Each-way claims again despite wide draw.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 21/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 61 · 5f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 61 par21/105OR 616 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 60 · 5f Std 135 · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 60 par5 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 58 · 5f Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 58 par13/045OR 586 @ Redcar 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 57 · 5f GF 133 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 132 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 57 par5/066OR 576 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 55 · 5f1y Gd 135 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 54 · 5f GF 131 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 54 par15/076OR 546 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 54 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 56 · 5f1y Goo 127 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 56 par25/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Musselburgh63rd3rd0
2026-07-27Ripon61st1st0
2026-07-15Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-06-22Musselburgh68th8th0
2026-06-05Thirsk610th10th0
2026-04-30Redcar62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1030/0415/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/202511th16/116%23%+0.07
27/11/202510th18/15%10%+0.05
13/04/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
30/04/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
05/06/202610th10/147%18%-0.29
22/06/20268th5/174%22%-0.51
15/07/20263rd22/10%75%+0.75
27/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
25/08/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34