5

Salute The Ghost

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 48

Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength28%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS2/07C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Thistledown?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12