4
Bionic Saint
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 37
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 03/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 21/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |