3
Loco Coco
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 46
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |