1
Dynamic Vision
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 66
Thistledown · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-23 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |