6
Salute The Kid
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-10-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |