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9

Live A Little

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 63

Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength95%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 10/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 58 · 5f110y Fas 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2024 · OR 58 par10/10C5OR 58C5 @ Mahoning Valley 19/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 60 · 6f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/12/2024 · OR 60 parC5 @ Thistledown 18/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 59 par18/09C5OR 59C8 @ Thistledown 09/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 115 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 59 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 18/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 58 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 58 par18/11C5OR 58C5 @ Mahoning Valley 18/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 59 · 6f Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 59 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 62 par4/02C5OR 62C5 @ Mahoning Valley 19/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 63 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/02/2026 · OR 63 par19/02C5OR 63projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-19Mahoning Valley?6th3rd+3
2026-02-04Mahoning Valley?6th3rd+3
2025-12-18Mahoning Valley?1st-2th+3
2025-11-18Mahoning Valley?3rd0th+3
2025-10-09Thistledown?1st1st0
2025-09-18Thistledown?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/109/104/0219/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20244th14/126%50%+0.24
19/12/202410th20/10%18%+0.18
18/09/20256th11/486%38%-0.48
09/10/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
18/11/20253rd3/184%67%-0.18
18/12/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
04/02/20266th4/179%29%-0.50
19/02/20266th5/174%17%-0.57