4
Angel Wings
7yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 60
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 09/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 30/03/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |