2
Dolce Marie
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 53
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |