2
Curious Corn
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 81
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 11/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |