6
Wisley
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |