4
Gift Of Oak
10yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 59
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 27/02/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 11/03/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 19/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 03/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/05/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |