5

Hip Hip Hooray

7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 76

Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 10/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2024 · OR 98 par10/08C5OR 98C5 @ Thistledown 08/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2024 · OR 95 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 26/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 87 par26/10C5OR 87C5 @ Thistledown 14/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/05/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Thistledown 14/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 90 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 90 par14/08C5OR 90C8 @ Thistledown 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 88 · 6f 119 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Thistledown 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 6f 119 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 80 par25/06C8OR 80C8 @ Thistledown 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 119 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Thistledown 11/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 73 · 1m 119 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 73 par11/08C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Thistledown?8th8th0
2026-08-03Thistledown?5th5th0
2026-06-25Thistledown?5th5th0
2025-10-03Thistledown?1st1st0
2025-08-14Thistledown?6th3rd+3
2025-05-14Thistledown?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0814/0525/0611/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength9%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20247th25/10%25%+0.25
08/10/20244th14/126%50%+0.24
26/10/202411th25/10%17%+0.17
14/05/20253rd16/116%60%+0.44
14/08/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
03/10/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
25/06/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
03/08/20265th11/271%20%-0.51
11/08/20268th13/266%30%-0.36