Betty's Tiara
8yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 104
Uttoxeter · Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Exeter | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/5 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |