Billy Boi Blue
9yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 113
Uttoxeter · Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Worcester | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Hexham | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Huntingdon | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ayr | 3 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/04/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 09/05/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |